{"id":4588,"date":"2020-09-06T20:18:59","date_gmt":"2020-09-06T19:18:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thedailyleaks.com\/?p=4588"},"modified":"2020-09-06T20:18:59","modified_gmt":"2020-09-06T19:18:59","slug":"scientists-cant-explain-puzzling-lack-of-coronavirus-outbreaks-in-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedailyleaks.com\/scientists-cant-explain-puzzling-lack-of-coronavirus-outbreaks-in-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Scientists can\u2019t explain puzzling lack of coronavirus outbreaks in Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"

The novel coronavirus has\u00a0infected more than 26.35 million people<\/a>, with just four countries accounting for over 15 million cases. They are America, Brazil, India, and Russia \u2014 the same four that have been at the top for months.<\/p>\n

The US surprised the world when it rose to the top spot in multiple COVID-19 statistics, both for the total number of confirmed cases and the number of deaths. Since then, no other country has surpassed America.<\/p>\n

But scientists who are studying the pandemic have also identified another surprise of the pandemic. Some expected the African continent to be affected most heavily by the virus, but that wasn\u2019t the case, the New York Post<\/a> said in a report.<\/p>\n

South Africa stands out when it comes to the number of total cases, with nearly 631,000 infections. But fewer than 15,000 people have died of COVID-19. These figures are puzzling scientists looking to understand how the virus behaves and how it can be beaten.<\/p>\n

The hypothesis that poverty should have a significant impact on the spread of the virus doesn\u2019t stand when it comes to the entire African continent. Developing countries like Brazil and India showed that the virus couldn\u2019t be contained once it reached densely populated, but poor, neighborhoods.<\/p>\n

Experts expected the same thing to happen in Africa, but it didn\u2019t. If anything, Africa is doing better than any other continent, both when it comes to cases and casualties.<\/p>\n

As BBC News explains<\/a>, even if those numbers are significantly underreported, Africa still has it much better than other continents right now.<\/p>\n

\u201cI thought we were heading towards a disaster, a complete meltdown,\u201d Professor Shabir Madhi told BBC News. The nation\u2019s top virologist echoed what others must have thought about the African coronavirus outbreak. But South Africa\u2019s death rate is almost seven times lower than in the UK.<\/p>\n

Salim Abdool Karim, the head of the country\u2019s COVID-19 response team, told BBC that \u201cmost African countries don\u2019t have a peak,\u201d which is surprising. \u201cI don\u2019t understand why. I\u2019m completely at sea,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n

He explained that factors like population density would be a critical factor that would favor the rapid spread of the illness inside the African continent. Crowding in poverty-stricken areas makes social distancing all but impossible, and that increases the risk of COVID-19 spreading.<\/p>\n

One hypothesis that can explain the disparity between Africa and other continents concerns the overall age of the population. In general, the population of Africa is younger than in regions hardest-hit by COVID-19.<\/p>\n

ALSO READ:\u00a0<\/strong>Russia registers, approves world\u2019s first coronavirus vaccine, Putin announces<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Another hypothesis will sound familiar to those who have been following coronavirus developments closely. Some researchers have shown that other human coronaviruses that cause common colds can elicit an immune response that could provide protection against COVID-19.<\/p>\n

South African researchers went to work on that idea, attempting to analyze five-year-old blood samples that were conserved from a flu vaccine trial in Soweto. The plan was to look for any evidence that would explain why the African continent is faring much better against the illness than others. Those samples were compromised by technical issues that put a stop to the research.<\/p>\n

But the idea stands. The same crowded neighborhoods that would lead to the quick spread of\u00a0other coronaviruses may have protected the population<\/a>\u00a0from SARS-CoV-2.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s a hypothesis. Some level of pre-existing cross-protective immunity\u2026 might explain why the epidemic didn\u2019t unfold (the way it did in other parts of the world)\u201d Mahdi said.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe protection might be much more intense in highly populated areas, in African settings. It might explain why the majority (on the continent) have asymptomatic or mild infections.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cI can\u2019t think of anything else that would explain the numbers of completely asymptomatic people we\u2019re seeing. The numbers are completely unbelievable,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

But if that hypothesis is true, why have Brazil and India seen massive COVID-19 surges in the past few months? Karim warned that even considering the evolution of the pandemic on the continent so far, Africa isn\u2019t out of the woods. \u201cI\u2019m not sure whether one day the epidemic is going to spread like crazy here,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The novel coronavirus has\u00a0infected more than 26.35 million people, with just four countries accounting for over 15 million cases. 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